Value Bets
Yesterday's Bets
Model
Accuracy
Calibration
About
Accuracy
Predicted vs Actual Ks
140 pitcher-starts evaluated
MAE
1.82
Ks (lower is better)
Bias
+0.02
over-predicting (model > actual)
RMSE
2.30
Ks · penalizes large errors
Scatter
One dot per pitcher-start · diagonal = perfect prediction