MLB pitcher strikeout predictions. Calibrated. Tracked. Transparent.
Lifetime · Every Prediction
Predictions
3,606
self-updating daily
MAE
1.96
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.25
predicted − actual
Within ±1K
45%
of predictions
Full breakdown — hit-rate bands, calibrated confidence intervals, error distribution — on Accuracy.
What's in EdgeK
PredictionsStart here
Every starting pitcher's K projection for today's slate — predicted Ks, 80% CI, talent tier, and ±1K/±2K confidence.
See today's slate →
Yesterday
The most recently settled slate, graded against actual strikeouts — with 7d/30d/lifetime accuracy for context.
Accuracy
How well predicted strikeout counts match actual results. MAE, bias, hit-rate bands, and calibrated confidence intervals.
Pitchers
Every pitcher the model tracks, grouped by talent tier — click through for full prediction accuracy history.
About
How the model works: the two-stage GBM, the calibration layer, and what the numbers actually mean.