Blake Snell
elite tier · 6.5K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
4
MAE
3.00
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.58
predicted − actual
RMSE
3.35
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
3.00
n=4
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0274
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0379
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/26 | 5.17 | 3 | 2.17 |
| 9/16/26 | 5.99 | 1 | 4.99 |
| 9/4/26 | 5.91 | 7 | 1.09 |
| 8/29/26 | 6.24 | 10 | 3.76 |