Brandon Williamson
scrub tier · 3.5K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
3
MAE
1.25
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.11
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.33
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.25
n=3
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0004
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0001
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
32
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27/26 | 3.67 | 3 | 0.67 |
| 9/22/26 | 3.38 | 2 | 1.38 |
| 9/2/26 | 3.29 | 5 | 1.71 |