Look up a pitcher
Bets
4
0W · 0L
Win Rate
0.0%
0.0% break-even (0)
ROI
+0.00%
profit / wager
P&L
+0.00u
1× Kelly-sized (calibration-adjusted) · settled
MAE
2.61
Ks · n=1 predictions
Bias
-2.61
under-predicting
Volatility
Moderate spread
α=0.0189 · 39 starts
Recent form · Last 1 start
Record
0W-0L
Win Rate
0%
0 avg
MAE
2.61
P&L
+0.00u
UNDER0 bets
Record
—
Win Rate
—
P&L
—
OVER4 bets
Record
0W-0L
Win Rate
0%
0 avg
P&L
+0.00u
Strikeout Distribution
NB(μ=5.4, α=0.019) · 80% range 3-8 K (calibrated) · Ceiling 30% · green = OVER 4.5
| Date | Opp | Side | Line | Type | Odds | Edge | Pred Ks | 80% CI | Actual Ks | Result | Units | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/9/26 | @TEX | OVER | 3.5 | ALT | -235 | 7.5% | 5.4 | 3–8 | — | — | — | Fanatics |
| 8/9/26 | @TEX | OVER | 4.5 | MAIN | -115 | 8.0% | 5.4 | 3–8 | — | — | — | Bovada |
| 8/9/26 | @TEX | OVER | 5.5 | ALT | +186 | 9.4% | 5.4 | 3–8 | — | — | — | FanDuel |
| 8/9/26 | @TEX | OVER | 6.5 | ALT | +400 | 9.2% | 5.4 | 3–8 | — | — | — | Bovada |