Hayden Wesneski
avg tier · 4.3K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
6
MAE
1.13
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.37
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.26
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.07
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0736
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.1341
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
24
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/26 | 4.43 | 5 | 0.57 |
| 9/19/26 | 4.51 | 3 | 1.51 |
| 9/13/26 | 3.13 | 2 | 1.13 |
| 9/8/26 | 4.87 | 3 | 1.87 |
| 9/2/26 | 4.74 | 5 | 0.26 |
| 8/27/26 | 4.56 | 6 | 1.44 |