Jose Quintana
scrub tier · 3.4K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
3
MAE
1.93
Ks off, on average
Bias
+1.93
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.60
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.93
n=3
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0271
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0375
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/26 | 3.44 | 3 | 0.44 |
| 9/19/26 | 3.00 | 2 | 1.00 |
| 5/24/26 | 4.36 | 0 | 4.36 |