Justin Verlander
good tier · 4.6K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
1
MAE
2.16
Ks off, on average
Bias
-2.16
predicted − actual
RMSE
2.16
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
2.16
n=1
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0573
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0799
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/26 | 3.84 | 6 | 2.16 |