Yusei Kikuchi
elite tier · 5.4K talent estimateLifetime
Starts
6
MAE
1.46
Ks off, on average
Bias
+0.20
predicted − actual
RMSE
1.74
Recent form
Last 5 starts — MAE
1.55
n=5
Volatility
Dispersion (α, EB-shrunk)
0.0134
what the model uses at inference
Dispersion (α, raw)
0.0184
unshrunk personal estimate
Starts used
50
Predicted vs. actual, every start
| Date | Predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/27/26 | 4.99 | 7 | 2.01 |
| 9/22/26 | 5.25 | 2 | 3.25 |
| 9/16/26 | 5.33 | 4 | 1.33 |
| 9/11/26 | 5.40 | 5 | 0.40 |
| 9/5/26 | 5.25 | 6 | 0.75 |
| 8/30/26 | 5.01 | 6 | 0.99 |